富士汇FXfish 2008.7.14操作建议
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<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0cm 0cm 0pt;"><strong><font size="3"><span style="color: blue; font-family: 宋体;">图表分析</span><span style="color: blue;" lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></font></strong></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0cm -7.35pt 0pt 0cm;"><span lang="EN-US"><v:shapetype id="_x0000_t75" stroked="f" filled="f" path="m@4@5l@4@11@9@11@9@5xe" o:preferrelative="t" o:spt="75" coordsize="21600,21600"><v:stroke joinstyle="miter"></v:stroke><v:formulas><v:f eqn="if lineDrawn pixelLineWidth 0"></v:f><v:f eqn="sum @0 1 0"></v:f><v:f eqn="sum 0 0 @1"></v:f><v:f eqn="prod @2 1 2"></v:f><v:f eqn="prod @3 21600 pixelWidth"></v:f><v:f eqn="prod @3 21600 pixelHeight"></v:f><v:f eqn="sum @0 0 1"></v:f><v:f eqn="prod @6 1 2"></v:f><v:f eqn="prod @7 21600 pixelWidth"></v:f><v:f eqn="sum @8 21600 0"></v:f><v:f eqn="prod @7 21600 pixelHeight"></v:f><v:f eqn="sum @10 21600 0"></v:f></v:formulas><v:path o:connecttype="rect" gradientshapeok="t" o:extrusionok="f"></v:path><o:lock aspectratio="t" v:ext="edit"><img class="" alt="" src="http://newsart.gcict.com/userfiles/image/image001%28193%29.jpg" width="297" height="257"></o:lock></v:shapetype></span></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0cm 0cm 0pt;"><font size="3"><span style="font-family: 宋体;">欧罗四小时图见，汇价自成功突破</span><span lang="EN-US"><font face="Times New Roman">1.5840-1.5900</font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;">两道阻力后，一度创下</span><span lang="EN-US"><font face="Times New Roman">7</font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;">月份以来的新高位</span><span lang="EN-US"><font face="Times New Roman">1.5950</font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;">水平位置，而技术上移动平均线保持上行发展，及指标</span><span lang="EN-US"><font face="Times New Roman">PKS</font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;">获有上升趋势线支持，使汇价仍有上升的空间，预料后市以盘整方式继续上行居多，目标看</span><span lang="EN-US"><font face="Times New Roman">1.6020</font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;">，下方支撑</span><span lang="EN-US"><font face="Times New Roman">1.5840</font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;">。</span></font></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0cm 0cm 0pt;"><font size="3"><span style="font-family: 宋体;">英镑上周获得上升支撑线支持后呈波幅上行走势，周一开市获得短线支持，快速突破</span><span lang="EN-US"><font face="Times New Roman">1.9900</font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;">阻力去至</span><span lang="EN-US"><font face="Times New Roman">1.9945</font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;">水平。技术显示，</span><span lang="EN-US"><font face="Times New Roman">10</font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;">均线穿过</span><span lang="EN-US"><font face="Times New Roman">50</font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;">均线呈强劲支持，而指标</span><span lang="EN-US"><font face="Times New Roman">RSI9</font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;">亦获得支持触及超买区域，估计汇价后市上升动力依然存在，若能成功突破</span><span lang="EN-US"><font face="Times New Roman">2.0010</font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;">阻力水平，目标再望</span><span lang="EN-US"><font face="Times New Roman">2.0100</font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;">位置，支撑</span><span lang="EN-US"><font face="Times New Roman">1.9860</font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;">。</span></font></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0cm -7.35pt 0pt 0cm;"><span lang="EN-US"><img class="" alt="" src="http://newsart.gcict.com/userfiles/image/image003%28171%29.jpg" width="297" height="257"></span></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0cm 0cm 0pt 5.55pt;"><span lang="EN-US"><img class="" alt="" src="http://newsart.gcict.com/userfiles/image/image004%28166%29.jpg" width="297" height="257"></span></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0cm 0cm 0pt;"><font size="3"><span style="font-family: 宋体;">美元兑日圆四小时图所见</span><span lang="EN-US"><font face="Times New Roman">,</font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;">周一早盘开市汇价虽见呈小幅反弹上至</span><span lang="EN-US"><font face="Times New Roman">106.80</font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;">水平，但均线呈现死亡交叉形成压力，导致汇价再度回落</span><span lang="EN-US"><font face="Times New Roman">106.10</font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;">水平，另外技术指标显示</span><span lang="EN-US"><font face="Times New Roman">RSI9</font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;">亦见受阻维持疲弱下跌走势，因此，相信后市将继续以下降通道下行机会依然较大，下方支撑看</span><span lang="EN-US"><font face="Times New Roman">105.20</font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;">水平。</span></font></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0cm 0cm 0pt;"><font size="3"><span style="font-family: 宋体;">四小时图上，美元兑瑞士于</span><span lang="EN-US"><font face="Times New Roman">A</font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;">区域盘整走势由于遭受高位延伸阻力线下，导致汇价出现大幅下挫跌破强弱分界线</span><span lang="EN-US"><font face="Times New Roman">1.0220</font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;">水平，去至</span><span lang="EN-US"><font face="Times New Roman">B</font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;">区域</span><span lang="EN-US"><font face="Times New Roman">1.0160</font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;">位置，而技术上均线呈现死亡交叉打压，加上指标</span><span lang="EN-US"><font face="Times New Roman">RSI9</font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;">中线受阻依然维持负值水平运行，这意味着汇价短期内仍会受压中，短期支撑看</span><span lang="EN-US"><font face="Times New Roman">1.0100</font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;">。</span></font></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0cm 0cm 0pt;"><strong><font size="3"><span style="color: blue; font-family: 宋体;">市场回顾</span><span style="color: blue;" lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></font></strong></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0cm 0.9pt 0pt 0cm; text-indent: 21.75pt; text-align: left;" align="left"><strong><font size="3"><span style="color: blue; font-family: 宋体;">市场回顾本时段</span><span style="color: black;" lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></font></strong></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0cm 0.9pt 0pt 0cm; text-indent: 21.75pt; text-align: left;" align="left"><font size="3"><span style="font-family: 宋体;">周一纽约时段，欧系货币兑美元全线走强，欧元兑美元收复</span><span style="" lang="EN-US"><font face="Times New Roman">1.5900</font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;">整数水平，并反弹至</span><span style="" lang="EN-US"><font face="Times New Roman">1.5934</font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;">高点；英镑兑美元则在</span><span style="" lang="EN-US"><font face="Times New Roman">1.9900</font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;">上方扩大涨幅，上扬至近</span><span style="" lang="EN-US"><font face="Times New Roman">2</font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;">周新高</span><span style="" lang="EN-US"><font face="Times New Roman">1.9963</font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;">。市场对美国两大房屋抵押贷款机构</span><span style="" lang="EN-US"><font face="Times New Roman">--</font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;">房利美和房地美深陷困境，信贷危机可能继续蔓延的忧虑加重，令美元遭受全盘卖盘打击。同时，大宗商品价格坚挺的走势加剧了美元的跌势，</span><span style="" lang="EN-US"><font face="Times New Roman">NYMEX</font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;">原油期货周一高企于</span><span style="" lang="EN-US"><font face="Times New Roman">145.00</font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;">美元</span><span style="" lang="EN-US"><font face="Times New Roman">/</font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;">桶上方，现货金则反弹至</span><span style="" lang="EN-US"><font face="Times New Roman">3</font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;">月</span><span style="" lang="EN-US"><font face="Times New Roman">17</font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;">日以来的新高</span><span style="" lang="EN-US"><font face="Times New Roman">975.00</font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;">美元</span><span style="" lang="EN-US"><font face="Times New Roman">/</font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;">盎司，距</span><span style="" lang="EN-US"><font face="Times New Roman">1000.00</font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;">美元</span><span style="" lang="EN-US"><font face="Times New Roman">/</font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;">盎司整数大关仅一步之遥。受累于油价走高，美股周一先扬后抑，道指悉数回吐早盘逾</span><span style="" lang="EN-US"><font face="Times New Roman">100</font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;">点涨幅，最终以下跌近</span><span style="" lang="EN-US"><font face="Times New Roman">50</font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;">点收盘，这加剧了套息交易平仓压力，令低息货币日元和瑞郎纷纷获得避险资金的青睐。美元兑日元由</span><span style="" lang="EN-US"><font face="Times New Roman">106.80</font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;">回撤至</span><span style="" lang="EN-US"><font face="Times New Roman">106.00</font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;">上方，美元兑瑞郎则跌破</span><span style="" lang="EN-US"><font face="Times New Roman">1.0200</font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;">整数水平，下探至</span><span style="" lang="EN-US"><font face="Times New Roman">1.0143</font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;">的低点。受益于金价创近</span><span style="" lang="EN-US"><font face="Times New Roman">4</font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;">个月新高，澳元兑美元突破</span><span style="" lang="EN-US"><font face="Times New Roman">0.9716</font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;">，创出</span><span style="" lang="EN-US"><font face="Times New Roman">25</font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;">年新高</span><span style="" lang="EN-US"><font face="Times New Roman">0.9735</font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;">，纽元兑美元则收复了</span><span style="" lang="EN-US"><font face="Times New Roman">0.7600</font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;">整数水平，上扬至</span><span style="" lang="EN-US"><font face="Times New Roman">2</font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;">周新高</span><span style="" lang="EN-US"><font face="Times New Roman">0.7647</font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体;">。</span></font></p></td></tr></tbody></table>
