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富士汇FXfish 2008.6.19操作建议

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图表分析<?XML:NAMESPACE PREFIX = O /><O:P></O:P></TD></TR>
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图表分析<O:P></O:P></TD>
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欧罗从四小时图睇,因受到延伸阻力线压力下，导致汇价呈横行盘整走势，目前暂在1.5520水平，技术上显示均线呈横行趋向发展，而指标RSI9虽然获得中线支持，但上升动能仍见表现不足，估计后市短期仍会处于整理格局当中，不妨保持观望将有待突破一方后再度入市。阻力1.5600，支撑1.5450<O:P></O:P></TD>
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英镑兑美元近期走势持续大幅波动，从四小时图睇，跌势见至1.9460水平获见上升趋势线支持后逐渐大幅上行并重返至1.9590水平位置，技术上均线逐步汇合将有效提供汇价承接支持，加上指标PKS上升动能持续，这意味着汇价整体升势仍未改变，目标有望再次挑战1.9670位置，支撑1.9470位置。<O:P></O:P></TD></TR>
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美元兑日圆自跌破上升通道后持续以盘整方式运行，从四小时图睇，由于多次上测108.40水平失败，导致汇价回落至107.75水平，技术指标显示RSI9受阻跌穿中线水平，另外10-25均线聚集于一点在汇价上方呈压，因此，相
信后市继续以反复下行走势居多，短期目标测试50均线-107.30，一旦破位则再望106.40。<O:P></O:P></TD>
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四小时图上显示，美元兑瑞士因受到下降阻力线打压，促使汇价下跌至前期强弱分界线1.0360水平位置，而技术上移动平均线下行呈压，加上指标PKS亦受阻下行见至超卖区域，预料后市仍有继续下行的可能，短期目标睇1.0290，阻力1.0540。<O:P></O:P></TD></TR>
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市场回顾<O:P></O:P></TD>
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市场回顾<O:P></O:P>
纽约时段，欧系货币兑美元联袂反弹，欧元兑美元自1.5470反弹至1.5530左右，英镑兑美元则自1.9530持续回升至1.9600上方。欧洲央行强硬的货币政策立场支持欧元，而英国央行倾向于维持紧缩性货币政策则推高了英镑。同时，商品价格走强加剧了美元的跌势，也令欧系货币从中受益。NYMEX原油期货周三自时段低点131.80美元/桶持续反弹，重新回升至136.00美元/桶上方；现货金自883.05美元/盎司上扬至时段新高895.70美元/盎司。美股周三全线走软，道指收盘下跌100余点，这提高了风险厌恶情绪，令避险货币日元和瑞郎双双走强。美元兑日元自108.00上方跌至107.70，美元兑瑞郎则自1.0445一度跌至1.0350。商品货币澳元和纽元本时段表现抢眼，澳元兑美元自0.9400反弹至0.9470附近，纽元兑美元则上扬至0.7600整数水平下方。本时段，美元指数则由73.68跌至73.40附近。周三焦点，16:30英国5月零售销售、公共部门净借、政府收支短差，19:00加拿大5月消费者物价指数，20:30美国上周初请失业金人数，22:00美国5月谘商会领先指标、6月费城联储制造业指数。<O:P></O:P>
<O:P></O:P> </TD></TR>
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昨日价位<O:P></O:P></TD>
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<O:P> </O:P></TD>
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市场展望</TD></TR>
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市场展望<O:P></O:P></TD>
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欧元： 欧元：欧元/美元纽约时段开于1.5497附近，下探时段低点1.5471之后开始持续反弹。午盘，汇价一度上扬至时段新高1.5537，尾盘围绕1.5530一线强势整理。日线图显示，欧元/美元周三下探5日均线温和反弹，已连续2个交易日守稳该均线上方，巩固了短线探底反弹格局。目前汇价上行正面临20和30日均线的压制，若有效上破该阻力，多头目标可能指向1.5800。若持续遇阻，汇价则可能再次跌向100日均线寻求支撑。后市欧元/美元上方阻力见于1.5585和1.5650，下方支撑则位于1.5460和1.5410。<O:P></O:P></TD></TR>
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英镑： 英镑/美元纽约时段开于1.9527附近。早盘汇价摸高至1.9589的高点后略有回落。午盘自1.9550持续走高，一度上破1.9600整数水平，上扬至时段新高1.9611。尾盘汇价小幅回落，但仍维持良好买调，之后汇价围绕1.9590持续盘整涨幅。日线图显示，英镑/美元周三收出下影小阳线，连续第2个交易日在1.9500下方企稳反弹，维持了短线的探底反弹格局。但目前汇价仍运行于10、20和30日均线的下方，上述均线可能会对汇价进一步反弹构成反压，而更强的阻力则位于100日均线和1.9800整数关口。<O:P></O:P></TD></TR>
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日元： 美元/日元纽约时段开于108.15附近，随后汇价震荡下行。午盘道指扩大跌幅，更是加剧了汇价的跌势。尾盘汇价略有回升，但上行至108.00下方再次承压，最终收报于107.80附近。日线图显示，美元/日元连续3个交易日围绕5和200日均线强势整理，但在前期整理平台上端108.60和200日均线的联合压制下，周三汇价收于阴十字星，再次发出短线可能变盘的信号。若有效跌破107.60，空头目标可能指向10日均线。但自95.74以来形成的上升趋势线保持完好，表明中期反弹格局维持不变。<O:P></O:P></TD></TR>
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瑞郎： 美元/瑞郎纽约时段开于1.0426附近，汇价短暂拉高至时段新高1.0445后掉头下行。美股跌势加剧令汇价破位下行，尾盘汇价下破1.0400加速下行，一度下探至低点1.0355，最终仍收于该低点附近。日线图显示，受制于1.0540和1.0600构成的压力线，美元/瑞郎周三拉出上影小阴线，跌破了100日均线，打破了短线的强势整理格局。目前汇价下探20和30日均线略有企稳，但市场重心已出现下移迹象。中期走势来看，汇价仍运行于0.9635和1.0150构成的上升趋势线上方，中期反弹格局维持不变。<O:P></O:P></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

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