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fxfishcom 2008-6-10 11:51

富士汇FXfish 2008.6.9操作建议

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图表分析<?XML:NAMESPACE PREFIX = O /><O:P></O:P></TD></TR>
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图表分析<O:P></O:P></TD>
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<V:SHAPE id=_x0000_i1026 style="WIDTH: 222.75pt; HEIGHT: 192.75pt" type="#_x0000_t75"><V:IMAGEDATA o:title="英镑" src="file:///E:\Temp\Users\Langs\msohtml1\01\clip_image003.jpg"></V:IMAGEDATA><O:LOCK aspectratio="f" v:ext="edit"></O:LOCK></V:SHAPE><IMG height=257 alt="" src="http://newsart.gcict.com/userfiles/image/image002(156).jpg" width=297 v:shapes="_x0000_i1026"></TD></TR>
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欧罗从日线图睇;汇价因获得延伸支撑线支持下呈快速反弹，并一度连续升穿1.5600-1.5700关口走出W形态走势去至1.5750水平，而技术指标RSI9突破中线水平呈向好，加上各均线逐渐聚集提供汇价承接支持，这表明后市将会有一大突破.因此，建议投资者不妨遇低揸入欧罗，目标为1.59关口。<O:P></O:P></TD>
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从日线图上见到，英镑兑美元由于受到非农数据带动下，促使汇价出现逆转性反弹，并以一根大阳烛快速上破下降通道及三条日线见至1.97关口边缘，而技术上各项指标表现向好，加上RSI9获见底部支持重拾上升趋势，这意味着汇价升势仍未改变，目标为1.9855-1.9960。<O:P></O:P></TD></TR>
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日线图上显示，美元兑日元因再次上测上升通道中轴106.40水平仍未能成功后，导致汇价大幅回落至105.15水平位置，而技术上显示指标RSI9受阻逐渐呈下行趋势发展，加上保力加口呈收窄转向信号，因此，相信后市将继续以下跌走势为主，有望跌破上升通道下探至103.60-102.50水平。</TD>
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美元兑瑞郎日线图上显示，汇价走势由于受到下降趋势线影响下，令汇价以一根大阴烛触及区间分水岭1.0230水平B区位置。而技术上日均线向下扩展成压，加上指标RSI9受制于下降阻力线呈继续下行走势，预计后市再作调整后下看测试1.0010水平位置。<O:P></O:P></TD></TR>
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市场回顾<O:P></O:P></TD>
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市场回顾<O:P></O:P>
    周五欧洲股市早盘走强，刺激套息交易，美元兑日元和瑞郎也一度触及106.32和1.0407的时段高点。不过随着美国公布5月失业率飙升，打压美元指数全盘走软，自73.15附近大幅下挫，触及72.67的时段低点，余后小幅回升。非美货币方面，欧元总体冲高回落走势，时段高点一度触及1.5700；英镑基本呈触底强劲反弹走势，盘中触及1.9635的时段高点；澳元也受到金价上扬提振，触及0.9641的时段高点。美国周五公布的数据显示，美国5月非农就业人口减少4.9万，预期减少5.8万；美国5月失业率5.5%，预期为5.1%，失业率为2004年10月来最高，失业率升幅创1986年2月来最大，该数据加剧了投资者对美国劳动力市场的忧虑，打压美元全盘走软。   </TD></TR>
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市场展望</TD></TR>
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市场展望<O:P></O:P></TD>
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欧元：欧元/美元周五欧市开盘于1.5615附近，汇价总体冲高回落走势，午盘受到美国5月失业率飙升提振，汇价大幅上行，触及1.5700的时段高点，余后逐渐回落至1.5650附近，其后见支持，并最高升之1.5774高点。技术面，日线图显示，欧元/美元周四在1.5340和1.5285两点连线构成的支撑线上方，以及100日均线上方获得支撑强劲反弹，K线拉出下影长阳，突破了5日均线，表明短线下行空间有限，随着周五大幅上行，目前技术面有利多方，进一步阻力位于1.5780和1.5850，下方支撑位于1.5645和1.5600。<O:P></O:P></TD></TR>
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英镑：英镑/美元周五欧市开盘于1.9575附近，总体呈触底强劲反弹走势，早盘受到欧洲账户卖盘打压，一度下探至1.9537的时段低点。午盘过后，随着美元指数大幅走软，汇价上扬并突破1.9600及01.9700，最高见至1.9735。技术面，汇价日K线图显示，MACD和随机指标升至中档水平，周四K线图上形成了看涨锤头形态，并见双日转向的利好信号。后市初步目标可上望前期密集阻力1.9825，破则进一步上望1.9900。回调支撑位则可先下望而20日均线位置1.9645。<O:P></O:P></TD></TR>
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日圆：美元/日元周五欧市开盘于106.00附近，早盘汇价持稳于开盘水平上方，并小幅上扬触及106.32的时段高点。随着午盘公布的美国5月失业率飙升，美元指数大幅下挫，拖累美元/日元跌破106.00关口，触及105.00附近。技术面，美元/日元日K线图显示，10、20和30日均线位置104.40附近呈横向粘合为下行提供支持，汇价若可守稳该位，则表明自95.77以来的中期反弹将继续进行，后市汇价将首先朝向124.13-95.77的0.382回撤位106.60挺进。反之若失守，则后市料将下试至103.00水平。<O:P></O:P></TD></TR>
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瑞郎：美元/瑞郎纽约时段持续下挫，汇价跌破了1.0300整数支撑，并触发其下方止损，下探至5周新低1.0208。汇价周五最高触及1.0407，最低跌至1.0200附近，日内重挫近200点，跌幅达1.40%。日线图显示，美元/瑞郎跌破了30日均线，运行至均线系统下方，技术面有利空方。同时，汇价跌破了0.9635和1.0215两点连线构成的上升趋势线，若有效跌破该趋势线，短线下行空间将完全打开，空头目标将指向1.0000。<O:P></O:P></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

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