fxfishcom 2008-4-7 08:45
富士汇FXfish 2008.4.7操作建议
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<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; TEXT-INDENT: 77.5pt; mso-char-indent-count: 7.35"><FONT size=2><STRONG><SPAN style="COLOR: blue; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">图表分析</SPAN></STRONG><SPAN lang=EN-US style="COLOR: #dddddd"><?XML:NAMESPACE PREFIX = O /><O:P></O:P></SPAN></FONT></P></TD></TR>
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<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><STRONG><FONT size=2><SPAN style="COLOR: blue; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">图表分析</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="COLOR: blue"><O:P></O:P></SPAN></FONT></STRONG></P></TD>
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<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm -7.35pt 0pt 0cm; mso-para-margin-right: -.7gd"><SPAN lang=EN-US><?XML:NAMESPACE PREFIX = V /><V:SHAPETYPE id=_x0000_t75 stroked="f" filled="f" path="m@4@5l@4@11@9@11@9@5xe" o:preferrelative="t" o:spt="75" coordsize="21600,21600"><V:STROKE joinstyle="miter"></V:STROKE><V:FORMULAS><V:F eqn="if lineDrawn pixelLineWidth 0"></V:F><V:F eqn="sum @0 1 0"></V:F><V:F eqn="sum 0 0 @1"></V:F><V:F eqn="prod @2 1 2"></V:F><V:F eqn="prod @3 21600 pixelWidth"></V:F><V:F eqn="prod @3 21600 pixelHeight"></V:F><V:F eqn="sum @0 0 1"></V:F><V:F eqn="prod @6 1 2"></V:F><V:F eqn="prod @7 21600 pixelWidth"></V:F><V:F eqn="sum @8 21600 0"></V:F><V:F eqn="prod @7 21600 pixelHeight"></V:F><V:F eqn="sum @10 21600 0"></V:F></V:FORMULAS><V:PATH o:connecttype="rect" gradientshapeok="t" o:extrusionok="f"></V:PATH><O:LOCK aspectratio="t" v:ext="edit"><FONT size=2><IMG class="" height=257 alt="" src="http://newsart.gcict.com/userfiles/image/image001(92).jpg" width=297></FONT></O:LOCK></V:SHAPETYPE></SPAN></P></TD>
<TD style="BORDER-RIGHT: #ece9d8; PADDING-RIGHT: 5.4pt; BORDER-TOP: #ece9d8; PADDING-LEFT: 5.4pt; BACKGROUND: #f2f2f2; PADDING-BOTTOM: 0cm; BORDER-LEFT: #ece9d8; WIDTH: 243.7pt; PADDING-TOP: 0cm; BORDER-BOTTOM: white 1pt solid; HEIGHT: 125.8pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid white .5pt; mso-shading: white; mso-pattern: gray-5 black; mso-border-left-alt: solid white .5pt; mso-border-bottom-alt: solid white .5pt" vAlign=top width=325 colSpan=6>
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<TD style="BORDER-RIGHT: white 1pt solid; PADDING-RIGHT: 5.4pt; BORDER-TOP: #ece9d8; PADDING-LEFT: 5.4pt; BACKGROUND: #f2f2f2; PADDING-BOTTOM: 0cm; BORDER-LEFT: #ece9d8; WIDTH: 233.7pt; PADDING-TOP: 0cm; BORDER-BOTTOM: white 1pt solid; HEIGHT: 25.4pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid white .5pt; mso-shading: white; mso-pattern: gray-5 black; mso-border-left-alt: solid white 2.25pt; mso-border-alt: solid white .5pt" vAlign=top width=312 colSpan=8>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><FONT size=2><SPAN style="COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: Helvetica; mso-hansi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica">欧罗获得非农良好数据带动下虽有所上涨,但升势见至</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: Helvetica; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">1.5770</SPAN><SPAN style="COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: Helvetica; mso-hansi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica">受阻,使汇价出现小幅回调去至</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: Helvetica; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">1.5720</SPAN><SPAN style="COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: Helvetica; mso-hansi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica">水平,不过均线呈现黄金交叉上行提供支持,加上指标</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: Helvetica; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">MACD</SPAN><SPAN style="COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: Helvetica; mso-hansi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica">红线脱离影线有上升迹象,故此,相信后市仍存有一定的上升力度,目标将测试前期整理区域</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: Helvetica; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">1.5830</SPAN><SPAN style="COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: Helvetica; mso-hansi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica">水平位置。</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: Helvetica; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><O:P></O:P></SPAN></FONT></P></TD>
<TD style="BORDER-RIGHT: #ece9d8; PADDING-RIGHT: 5.4pt; BORDER-TOP: #ece9d8; PADDING-LEFT: 5.4pt; BACKGROUND: #f2f2f2; PADDING-BOTTOM: 0cm; BORDER-LEFT: #ece9d8; WIDTH: 243.7pt; PADDING-TOP: 0cm; BORDER-BOTTOM: white 1pt solid; HEIGHT: 25.4pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid white .5pt; mso-shading: white; mso-pattern: gray-5 black; mso-border-left-alt: solid white .5pt; mso-border-bottom-alt: solid white .5pt" vAlign=top width=325 colSpan=6>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><SPAN style="COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ansi-language: ZH-CN"><FONT size=2>英镑上周五因受到非农数据影响出现小幅上涨,但其后见2.0040水平受阻,令汇价随即大幅回吐去至1.9925水平,而技术上,均线保持上升趋势发展承接汇价,加上指标MACD上升动能逐渐增强,预料汇价作出调整后仍会有上升的空间,目标继续测试2.0040。<O:P></O:P></FONT></SPAN></P></TD></TR>
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<TD style="BORDER-RIGHT: #ece9d8; PADDING-RIGHT: 5.4pt; BORDER-TOP: #ece9d8; PADDING-LEFT: 5.4pt; BACKGROUND: #f2f2f2; PADDING-BOTTOM: 0cm; BORDER-LEFT: #ece9d8; WIDTH: 243.7pt; PADDING-TOP: 0cm; BORDER-BOTTOM: white 1pt solid; HEIGHT: 128.65pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid white .5pt; mso-shading: white; mso-pattern: gray-5 black; mso-border-left-alt: solid white .5pt; mso-border-bottom-alt: solid white .5pt" vAlign=top width=325 colSpan=6>
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<TD style="BORDER-RIGHT: white 1pt solid; PADDING-RIGHT: 5.4pt; BORDER-TOP: #ece9d8; PADDING-LEFT: 5.4pt; BACKGROUND: #f2f2f2; PADDING-BOTTOM: 0cm; BORDER-LEFT: #ece9d8; WIDTH: 233.7pt; PADDING-TOP: 0cm; BORDER-BOTTOM: white 2.25pt solid; HEIGHT: 29.45pt; mso-border-top-alt: .5pt; mso-shading: white; mso-pattern: gray-5 black; mso-border-left-alt: 2.25pt; mso-border-bottom-alt: 2.25pt; mso-border-right-alt: .5pt; mso-border-color-alt: white; mso-border-style-alt: solid" vAlign=top width=312 colSpan=8>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; mso-pagination: widow-orphan"><FONT size=2><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">美元兑日元自成功突破三角形态后,汇价维持高位</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">101.50-103.00</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">之间横行整理,从四小时图看,目前汇价虽暂在</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">102</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">关口边缘附近,但</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">10-25</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">均线继续上行发展支持,指标</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">MACD</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">亦维持高位运行,因此,相信后市回调整理后仍会有上升的机会,目标看</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">103.00</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">。</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><O:P></O:P></SPAN></FONT></P></TD>
<TD style="BORDER-RIGHT: #ece9d8; PADDING-RIGHT: 5.4pt; BORDER-TOP: #ece9d8; PADDING-LEFT: 5.4pt; BACKGROUND: #f2f2f2; PADDING-BOTTOM: 0cm; BORDER-LEFT: #ece9d8; WIDTH: 243.7pt; PADDING-TOP: 0cm; BORDER-BOTTOM: white 2.25pt solid; HEIGHT: 29.45pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid white .5pt; mso-shading: white; mso-pattern: gray-5 black; mso-border-left-alt: solid white .5pt" vAlign=top width=325 colSpan=6>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0.9pt 0pt 0cm; TEXT-ALIGN: left; tab-stops: 36.0pt; mso-layout-grid-align: none" align=left><SPAN style="COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ansi-language: ZH-CN"><FONT size=2>美元兑瑞士自上试1.0220水平失败后,汇价持续以震荡方式下行,现时暂在1.0070水平,而四小时图分析显示,10-25均线逐渐聚集下行呈压制,指标RSI9亦跌穿中值水平,由此可见,相信汇价短期内仍处于疲弱走势中,首要目标将测试上升支1.0000关口,一但下破则望1.0950。<O:P></O:P></FONT></SPAN></P></TD></TR>
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<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><STRONG><FONT size=2><SPAN style="COLOR: blue; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">市场回顾</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="COLOR: blue"><O:P></O:P></SPAN></FONT></STRONG></P></TD>
<TD style="BORDER-RIGHT: #ece9d8; PADDING-RIGHT: 5.4pt; BORDER-TOP: #ece9d8; PADDING-LEFT: 5.4pt; BACKGROUND: #f2f2f2; PADDING-BOTTOM: 0cm; BORDER-LEFT: #ece9d8; WIDTH: 477.4pt; PADDING-TOP: 0cm; BORDER-BOTTOM: white 1pt solid; HEIGHT: 24.2pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid white .5pt; mso-shading: white; mso-pattern: gray-5 black; mso-border-left-alt: solid white 2.25pt; mso-border-bottom-alt: solid white .5pt" vAlign=top width=637 colSpan=14>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0.9pt 0pt 0cm; TEXT-INDENT: 10.35pt; mso-char-indent-count: .98"><STRONG><FONT size=2><SPAN style="COLOR: blue; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">市场回顾</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="COLOR: blue"><O:P></O:P></SPAN></FONT></STRONG></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; TEXT-INDENT: 21pt; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0"><FONT size=2><SPAN style="COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial">上周五纽约时段,市场有不少消息,但由于投资者等待晚间公布的非农就业数据,各主要货币总体处于区间波动状态。亚洲时段,旧金山联储主席耶伦回应了美联储主席伯南克本周早些时候的讲话,称美国经济增长已经停滞,而且有可能陷入衰退;同时,她和另一名美联储理事米什金在讲话中,均强调了通胀的重要性,也让利率前景的不确定性增加。有分析师指出,近期美国劳动力市场数据好坏参半,</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: Arial; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">ADP</SPAN><SPAN style="COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial">数据高于预期,但初请失业金数据又极差。总体上,投资者对美元和美国经济的信心在过去的几个交易日中有所恢复。目前,市场预计美联储本月仅会降息</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: Arial; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">25</SPAN><SPAN style="COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial">个基点。德国商业银行外汇策略师</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: Arial; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">Antje Praefcke</SPAN><SPAN style="COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial">认为,即便是就业人数没有减少,从基本面分析,美元还是处于弱势,因为失业率不会停止高攀。</SPAN></FONT><SPAN lang=EN-US style="COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: Arial; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><BR></SPAN><FONT size=2><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: #626466; FONT-FAMILY: Arial"><SPAN style="mso-spacerun: yes"> </SPAN></SPAN></FONT></P></TD></TR>
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<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><STRONG><FONT size=2><SPAN style="COLOR: blue; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">昨日价位</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="COLOR: blue"><O:P></O:P></SPAN></FONT></STRONG></P></TD>
<TD style="BORDER-RIGHT: #ece9d8; PADDING-RIGHT: 5.4pt; BORDER-TOP: #ece9d8; PADDING-LEFT: 5.4pt; BACKGROUND: #f2f2f2; PADDING-BOTTOM: 0cm; BORDER-LEFT: #ece9d8; WIDTH: 477.4pt; PADDING-TOP: 0cm; BORDER-BOTTOM: white 2.25pt solid; HEIGHT: 31.95pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid white .5pt; mso-shading: white; mso-pattern: gray-5 black; mso-border-left-alt: solid white 2.25pt" vAlign=top width=637 colSpan=14>
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<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; TEXT-INDENT: 20.65pt; mso-char-indent-count: 1.96"><STRONG><SPAN style="COLOR: blue; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'"><FONT size=2>市场展望</FONT></SPAN></STRONG></P></TD></TR>
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<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><STRONG><FONT size=2><SPAN style="COLOR: blue; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">市场展望</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="COLOR: blue"><O:P></O:P></SPAN></FONT></STRONG></P></TD>
<TD style="BORDER-RIGHT: #ece9d8; PADDING-RIGHT: 5.4pt; BORDER-TOP: #ece9d8; PADDING-LEFT: 5.4pt; BACKGROUND: #f3f3f3; PADDING-BOTTOM: 0cm; BORDER-LEFT: #ece9d8; WIDTH: 477.4pt; PADDING-TOP: 0cm; BORDER-BOTTOM: white 1pt solid; HEIGHT: 9.75pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid white .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid white 2.25pt; mso-border-bottom-alt: solid white .5pt" vAlign=top width=637 colSpan=14>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt 52.5pt; TEXT-INDENT: -31.5pt; mso-char-indent-count: -3.0; mso-para-margin-left: 2.0gd"><FONT size=2><SPAN style="COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">欧元:欧元</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="COLOR: black; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><FONT face="Times New Roman">/</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">美元目前自时段</SPAN><SPAN style="COLOR: black; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><FONT face="Times New Roman"> </FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">高点小幅回落,汇价行下至</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="COLOR: black; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><FONT face="Times New Roman">1.5700</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">整数水平附近。欧洲央行行长特里谢和欧元集团主席容克周五相继发表讲话,他们对第二轮通胀效应感到担忧,支持了欧洲央行强硬的货币政策立场。但容克对欧元的口头干预令其承压。有分析师指出,尽管非农数据疲弱,但美股走势总体依然坚挺。若美股持续走高,这可能将会进一步推动欧元</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="COLOR: black; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><FONT face="Times New Roman">/</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">日元走高。</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="COLOR: black; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><O:P></O:P></SPAN></FONT></P></TD></TR>
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<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt 52.5pt; TEXT-INDENT: -31.5pt; mso-char-indent-count: -3.0; mso-para-margin-left: 2.0gd"><FONT size=2><SPAN style="COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">英镑:英镑</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="COLOR: black; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><FONT face="Times New Roman">/</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">美元周五创出</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="COLOR: black; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><FONT face="Times New Roman">1</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">周新高</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="COLOR: black; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><FONT face="Times New Roman">2.0046</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">,但随后持续大幅回落,一度下探至</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="COLOR: black; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><FONT face="Times New Roman">1.9910</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">附近。直盘走软一定程度上拖累了交叉汇率的走势。但美股探底回升提振了套息交易,为汇价注入了反弹动力。道指目前上涨</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="COLOR: black; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><FONT face="Times New Roman">55</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">点左右,报于</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="COLOR: black; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><FONT face="Times New Roman">12680</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">点附近。有分析师指出,日线图显示,英镑</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="COLOR: black; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><FONT face="Times New Roman">/</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">日元周五冲高回落,并击穿了</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="COLOR: black; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><FONT face="Times New Roman">30</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">日均线,表明经过近期的持续上涨后,汇价存在技术整固要求。目前</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="COLOR: black; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><FONT face="Times New Roman">5</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">和</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="COLOR: black; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><FONT face="Times New Roman">10</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">日均线金叉</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="COLOR: black; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><FONT face="Times New Roman">20</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">日均线,技术面仍有利多方,预计将会限制汇价的回调空间。上方阻力在</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="COLOR: black; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><FONT face="Times New Roman">205.10</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">和</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="COLOR: black; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><FONT face="Times New Roman">206.20</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">,下方支撑在</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="COLOR: black; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><FONT face="Times New Roman">200.80</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">和</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="COLOR: black; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><FONT face="Times New Roman">197.00</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">。</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="COLOR: black; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><O:P></O:P></SPAN></FONT></P></TD></TR>
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<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt 52.5pt; TEXT-INDENT: -31.5pt; mso-char-indent-count: -3.0; mso-para-margin-left: 2.0gd"><FONT size=2><SPAN style="COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">日圆:美元</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="COLOR: black; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><FONT face="Times New Roman">/</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">日元自时段高点</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="COLOR: black; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><FONT face="Times New Roman">102.08</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">小幅回落,目前汇价下行至</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="COLOR: black; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><FONT face="Times New Roman">101.90</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">附近。美国劳工部周五公布,美国</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="COLOR: black; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><FONT face="Times New Roman">3</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">月非农就业人数减少</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="COLOR: black; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><FONT face="Times New Roman">8</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">万人,创</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="COLOR: black; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><FONT face="Times New Roman">03</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">年</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="COLOR: black; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><FONT face="Times New Roman">3</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">月以来最高,预期为减少</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="COLOR: black; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><FONT face="Times New Roman">6</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">万人,</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="COLOR: black; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><FONT face="Times New Roman">3</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">月失业率为</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="COLOR: black; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><FONT face="Times New Roman">5.1%</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">,创</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="COLOR: black; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><FONT face="Times New Roman">05</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">年</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="COLOR: black; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><FONT face="Times New Roman">9</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">月以来最高,预期为</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="COLOR: black; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><FONT face="Times New Roman">5.0%</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">。分项指标中,美国</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="COLOR: black; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><FONT face="Times New Roman">3</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">月制造业就业人数减少</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="COLOR: black; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><FONT face="Times New Roman">4.8</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">万人,零售业减少</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="COLOR: black; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><FONT face="Times New Roman">1.2</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">万人,但是服务业增加</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="COLOR: black; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><FONT face="Times New Roman">1.3</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">万人,政府部门增加</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="COLOR: black; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><FONT face="Times New Roman">1.8</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">万人。道指午盘冲高回落抑制了套息交易需求,令汇价上破</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="COLOR: black; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><FONT face="Times New Roman">102.00</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">整数水平后遭遇抛盘压力。道指目前上涨</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="COLOR: black; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><FONT face="Times New Roman">34</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">点左右,报于</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="COLOR: black; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><FONT face="Times New Roman">12660</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">点附近。有分析师指出,美股走势将继续成为引领美元</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="COLOR: black; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><FONT face="Times New Roman">/</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">日元的风向标,若道指持续回落,汇价可能会随之逐步走低。短线关键支撑在</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="COLOR: black; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><FONT face="Times New Roman">101.50</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">,上方阻力在</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="COLOR: black; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><FONT face="Times New Roman">102.10</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">。</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="COLOR: black; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><O:P></O:P></SPAN></FONT></P></TD></TR>
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<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt 52.5pt; TEXT-INDENT: -31.5pt; mso-char-indent-count: -3.0; mso-para-margin-left: 2.0gd"><FONT size=2><SPAN style="COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">瑞郎:美元</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="COLOR: black; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><FONT face="Times New Roman">/</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">瑞郎纽约时段持续下挫,汇价跌破了</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="COLOR: black; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><FONT face="Times New Roman">1.0100</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">整数支撑,目前汇价跌至时段新低</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="COLOR: black; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><FONT face="Times New Roman">1.0020</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">附近。美国劳工部周五公布报告,美国</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="COLOR: black; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><FONT face="Times New Roman">3</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">月非农就业人数减少</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="COLOR: black; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><FONT face="Times New Roman">8</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">万人,创</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="COLOR: black; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><FONT face="Times New Roman">03</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">年</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="COLOR: black; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><FONT face="Times New Roman">3</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">月以来最高,预期为减少</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="COLOR: black; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><FONT face="Times New Roman">6</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">万人,</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="COLOR: black; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><FONT face="Times New Roman">3</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">月失业率为</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="COLOR: black; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><FONT face="Times New Roman">5.1%</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">,创</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="COLOR: black; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><FONT face="Times New Roman">05</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">年</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="COLOR: black; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><FONT face="Times New Roman">9</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">月以来最高,预期为</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="COLOR: black; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><FONT face="Times New Roman">5.0%</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">。分项指标中,美国</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="COLOR: black; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><FONT face="Times New Roman">3</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">月制造业就业人数减少</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="COLOR: black; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><FONT face="Times New Roman">4.8</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">万人,零售业减少</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="COLOR: black; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><FONT face="Times New Roman">1.2</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">万人,但是服务业增加</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="COLOR: black; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><FONT face="Times New Roman">1.3</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">万人,政府部门增加</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="COLOR: black; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><FONT face="Times New Roman">1.8</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">万人。同时,受非农数据疲软打压,美股周五早盘走低,打击了套息交易需求,也令汇价承压。道指目前下跌</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="COLOR: black; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><FONT face="Times New Roman">62</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">点左右,报于</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="COLOR: black; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><FONT face="Times New Roman">12563</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">点附近。</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="COLOR: black; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><FONT face="Times New Roman"><br /><br /></FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">有分析师指出,糟糕的非农数据及美股走势将继续引领美元</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="COLOR: black; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><FONT face="Times New Roman">/</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">瑞郎的短线走势,若美股持续走低,汇价可能进一步承压,短线关键支撑在</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="COLOR: black; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><FONT face="Times New Roman">1.0000</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">。</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="COLOR: black; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><O:P></O:P></SPAN></FONT></P></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>